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Infectious Diseases of Poverty

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Infectious Diseases of Poverty's content profile, based on 10 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Urban environment and socio-economic inequalities in childhood excess weight: a cross-sectional study in Geneva, Switzerland

Richard, V.; De Ridder, D.; Heritier, H.; Lorthe, E.; Dumont, R.; Bovio, N.; Nehme, M.; Barbe, R. P.; Posfay-Barbe, K. M.; McDade, T. W.; Vuilleumier, N.; Guessous, I.; Stringhini, S.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354079 medRxiv
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Background Childhood overweight and obesity represent major public health challenges, shaped by socio-economic and environmental factors. This study investigates the mediating and moderating role of urban environmental exposures in socio-economic disparities in childhood excess weight. Methods Data was drawn from a population-based sample of children (2-9 years) and adolescents (10-17 years) living in Geneva, Switzerland. Parents reported household financial situation and children's height and weight, from which excess weight (i.e. overweight or obesity) was derived. Residential exposures to air pollution (PM2.5, NO2), noise (daytime, nighttime), and neighborhood greenness (green areas, canopy coverage) were estimated based on geocoded residential addresses. The association between household financial situation and excess weight was evaluated, as well as the mediating and moderating roles of urban environmental exposures. Results The analysis included 1006 children and 1154 adolescents. Among children, an average-to-poor household financial situation was associated with higher odds of excess weight in children (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13; 2.84). Higher noise exposure was associated with excess weight (daytime: aOR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.10; 1.77, nighttime: aOR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.08; 1.74), while the association with PM2.5 appeared stronger among socio-economically disadvantaged children, though the interaction did not reach statistical significance (financial situation x PM2.5 interaction: aOR: 1.59, 95% CI: 0.98; 2.59). No significant associations were observed among adolescents. Conclusion These findings highlight the joint influence of social and environmental inequalities on childhood excess weight and stress the need to address these interconnected determinants to design equitable, targeted public health interventions.

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Increasing frequency of secondary dengue infections in sequential outbreaks (2016-2024). Clinical impact and diagnostic challenges.

Espindola, S. L.; Pereson, M. J.; Lema, J. M.; Kachuk, A.; Carballo, G.; Aloisi, N.; Badano, M. N.; Miretti, M.; Di Lello, F. A.; Bare, P. C.

2026-06-01 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354405 medRxiv
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Successive dengue virus (DENV) outbreaks can progressively reshape population immunity influencing disease expression and diagnostic performance. Objectives The aim was to evaluate the impact of secondary infections across sequential outbreaks on clinical severity, serotype dynamics and diagnostic concordance. Methods This retrospective study analyzed 976 febrile-stage samples from three sequential outbreaks in Misiones, Argentina. For serotyping and clinical analyses, 869 viremic samples confirmed by at least one direct method were included (2016: n=512; 2019: n=148; 2024: n=209). Additionally, 318 samples, including 107 non-viremic cases, were used to compare NS1 rapid diagnostic tests (NS1 Ag) and RT-PCR. Viral serotyping and clinical and laboratory markers of disease severity were evaluated. Results Secondary infections increased from 31.05% (2016) to 43.24% (2019) and 53.87% (2024) (p<0.0010). Serotype distribution shifted from DENV-1 predominance in 2016 (95.12%), DENV-1/DENV-4 co-circulation in 2019 (60.71%/39.29%), and DENV-2 predominance in 2024 (97.60%). Secondary infections were associated with more severe disease manifestations, particularly in 2024, with higher hematocrit (p=0.0120) and hemoglobin (p=0.0080), lower white blood cells (p=0.020) and platelet counts (p=0.0030), and elevated AST (p=0.0007) and ALT (p=0.0130). Concordance between NS1 Ag and RT-PCR was lower in secondary infections (k=0.457 vs k=0.759, p=0.0013). Conclusions The rising frequency of secondary infections may affect both clinical severity and diagnostic performance during outbreaks. The clinical impact was more evident in 2024, likely associated with the introduction of a new serotype. These findings highlight the need for optimized surveillance and diagnostic strategies to improve case detection and patient management during epidemics.

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Dengue spatiotemporal patterns in Minas Gerais, Brazil, 2014-2023: regional epidemic forces dominate over the environmental impact of the Brumadinho dam collapse

Fernandes, G. d. R.; Vaz, A. B. M.; Fonseca, P. L. C.; Oliveira, W. K.; Aguiar, E. R. G. R.; Lopes, B. C.; Mota-Filho, C. R.; Castro, M. L. P.; Starling, C. E.

2026-05-26 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353615 medRxiv
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Background: Dengue is a major public health problem in Brazil, and Minas Gerais is one of the states with the highest burden. In January 2019, the Brumadinho dam collapse released about 12 million cubic meters of iron ore tailings into the Paraopeba River basin, causing environmental disturbance that could plausibly affect vector habitats and dengue transmission. We evaluated the spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue in Minas Gerais from 2014 to 2023 and tested whether the disaster was associated with changes in affected municipalities. Methods: We performed an ecological spatiotemporal analysis using dengue notifications from SINAN for all municipalities in Minas Gerais (2014-2023). Municipalities were classified as Paraopeba basin, regional controls, or state controls. Temporal similarity was assessed using Pearson correlation-based hierarchical clustering and non-metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS). Sources of variation were examined with PERMANOVA and principal component analysis (PCA). A linear mixed-effects model with municipality as a random effect was used to test changes after 2019, with pre/post contrasts estimated from marginal means. Results: Dengue showed strong temporal synchrony across the state, with major epidemic peaks in 2015-2016, 2019, and 2023. Health region explained 31.5% of the variation in temporal incidence profiles (p = 0.001), whereas Paraopeba basin status explained no significant variation (p = 0.998). No temporal cluster was enriched for municipalities in the Paraopeba basin. PCA identified 2023, 2019, and 2016 as the main years driving variability. In the mixed model, year was significant (p < 0.001), but Paraopeba basin status and its interaction with time were not. Incidence increased significantly after 2019 in non-exposed municipalities (p < 0.001), but not in basin municipalities (p = 0.088). Conclusions: Dengue dynamics in Minas Gerais were driven mainly by regional and state-wide epidemic processes, with no significant independent effect of the Brumadinho dam collapse on notified dengue patterns.

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A mixed-methods assessment of malaria case investigations and response in the elimination setting of Southern Province, Zambia

Karabo, R.; Kalyalya, S. M.; Miller, J.; Silumbe, K.; Hamainza, B.; Lungu, C.; Chanda, J.; Bennett, A.; Guinovart, C.; Mao, Z.; Ashton, R. A.; Stolow, J. A.; Eisele, T. P.

2026-05-26 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.23.26353921 medRxiv
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Background In 2017, Zambia adopted surveillance as a core intervention towards achieving malaria elimination. Among the surveillance strategies is the malaria case investigation and response 1-3-7 (MCIR 1-3-7), which has been piloted in two low-incidence districts in the Southern Province since 2021. The study aimed to assess the implementation of MCIR 1-3-7 under programmatic conditions. It examined the timeliness, and completeness of the MCIR 1-3-7 activities, including the completeness of data entry in surveillance forms, and explored the experiences and perspectives of healthcare workers involved in the pilot. Methods A mixed-methods design was employed to assess the MCIR 1-3-7. Using a descriptive cross-sectional design, quantitative data were collected from 19 healthcare facilities in the two districts to assess the timeliness and completeness of MCIR 1-3-7. Additionally, 12 qualitative interviews were conducted with 29 healthcare workers from 11 of the 19 healthcare facilities. The interviews were voice-recorded and then transcribed manually. A codebook was developed using an iterative process to explore the facilitators and barriers encountered by healthcare workers in implementing the MCIR 1-3-7 intervention. All the visited facilities were purposively selected based on logistical convenience. Results This study retrospectively assessed 510 malaria cases that were diagnosed between January 2022 and June 2023, presenting at 19 health facilities: 283 cases in Chikankata and 227 in Mazabuka districts. A total of 278 cases (54.5%) were deemed to have been imported from outside the district, province, or country, while 45.5% (232/510) of the cases were classified as transmitted locally. Overall, 29.6% of case notification forms were found to be complete. Twelve interviews with 29 healthcare workers revealed a lack of transportation modalities as the main obstacle in executing the MCIR 1-3-7 intervention. The healthcare workers also indicated that monetary incentives, and supportive supervision would help them succeed in implementing this intervention. Conclusions The MCIR 1-3-7 has the potential to accelerate elimination in areas with low-transmission of malaria in Zambia. This study highlights opportunities to improve future implementation of the MCIR 1-3-7 intervention via strengthening supportive supervision, availing job aids, and ensuring access to malaria commodities as the intervention expands.

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Morphological feature remodeling of intracranial arteries in the context of inflammation and HIV-associated cognitive impairment

Hoang, N.; Yang, H.; Uddin, M. N.; Zhong, J.; Faiyaz, A.; Singh, M. V.; Boodoo, Z. D.; Sutton, K. R.; Wang, H. Z.; Sahin, B.; Khan, M. W.; Weber, M. T.; Yuan, C.; Chen, L.; Schifitto, G.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353071 medRxiv
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Background: Despite the success of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), vascular comorbidities, including cerebrovascular disease, are more prominent in people living with HIV (PLWH) compared to people without HIV (PWOH). However, quantitative assessments of cerebrovascular morphometry and their associations with cognitive outcomes in the context of HIV are still limited. In this study, we explore this missing link. Methods: Magnetic Resonance Angiography (MRA) data, blood markers, and neurocognitive assessments were collected from 73 PWOH subjects (male: 57, female: 16; age: 53 {+/-} 16) and 99 PLWH subjects (male: 66, female: 30, age: 53 {+/-} 11). Vessel morphometric features were quantified using intraCranial Artery Feature Extraction (iCafe) to investigate associations between vessel morphometry, markers of monocytes, endothelial cell activation, and cognitive performance. Results: HIV status predicted a lower total number of branches ({beta} = -0.224, p = 0.001, d = -0.517) and shorter total distal length ({beta} = -0.173, p = 0.021, d = -0.370) with a moderate effect size. Total branch number was found to be negatively associated with plasma levels of monocyte markers (sCD14: r = -0.167, p = 0.033; sCD163: r = -0.157, p = 0.045) and positively correlated with white matter cerebral blood flow (r = 0.550; p [&le;] 0.05). HIV status was the strongest predictor of overall cognitive performance in ANCOVA model ({beta} = -0.219, p = 0.006, d = -0.453). Conclusions: Our results suggest that cognitive impairment in PLWH is associated with vessel morphology metrics. Monocyte immune activation may contribute to changes in vessel morphology.

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Suspected rabies exposure among animal-bite human cases in Busia district, Uganda: Prevalence, associated factors and delayed post-exposure care-seeking. A cross-sectional study

Wagaba, D.; Nabukenya, I.; Kizza, J.; Unith, H.; Kanyange, A.; Turyahabwe, C.; Kibuuka, H.; Mugisha, D.; Ogola, S. P.; Nabidda, S.; Kisakye, L. K.; Kalyango, J.

2026-06-01 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354408 medRxiv
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Background Rabies is a zoonotic neglected public health problem associated with animal bites, especially domestic carnivores claiming 59,000 deaths annually predominantly in developing countries of Africa and Asia. There is a high risk of exposure among rural communities endemic with animal rabies where adoption of prevention strategies is minimal. This study determined the prevalence of suspected rabies exposure, associated factors, and delayed post-exposure care-seeking among animal-bite human cases in Busia district, Uganda. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study that involved 332 consecutively sampled animal bite human cases that occurred within the period 2023 to 2024. Data for the bite cases from records were collected using a data abstraction tool. In addition, interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaires were used to collect data on sociodemographic, animal-related and environmental characteristics. Approximate bite locations were collected using Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinates via Kobo collect. Analysis was carried out in STATA 17 using mixed effects modified Poisson regression for factors associated with suspected rabies exposure. Results: The median age of the bite cases was 18 (IQR: 9-36) with the male gender predominantly affected. The prevalence of suspected rabies exposure was 53.6% (95% Confidence interval - CI: 46.8-60.3). Factors associated were urban versus (vs) rural residence (adjusted prevalence ratio-aPR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.00-1.08), being bitten by a stray animal (aPR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.22-1.35) and wild animal (aPR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.14-1.30) vs domestic animal, vaccination status of the biting animal i.e. vaccinated vs unvaccinated (aPR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.69-0.85), provoked vs unprovoked bites (aPR: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.79-0.86), and distance to nearest river ([&ge;]5km) vs <5km (aPR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.87-0.99). The prevalence of delayed post-exposure seeking was 23.0% (95% CI: 16.5-31.1) among the suspected rabies exposures. Conclusion: The study reveals a high prevalence of suspected rabies exposure. Factors associated are multidimensional i.e. are of human, animal and environmental origin. The one health paradigm should be emphasized during routine surveillance of rabies-related cases. The study observed that 1 in 5 bite cases delayed to seek care post bite exposure. We recommend collaborations between sectors, routine vaccination and awareness campaigns, and monitoring of wild carnivore populations and environmental dynamics in rabies-related surveillance.

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Integrating vaccination with short-term behavioral guidance enables mpox outbreak control

Maniscalco, D.; Robineau, O.; Boelle, P.-Y.; Mailles, A.; Noel, H.; Tarantola, A.; Velter, A.; Colizza, V.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354088 medRxiv
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Background. Despite the decline of the 2022 global outbreak, mpox remains an ongoing public health concern, with persistent transmission and emerging viral clades sustaining resurgence risk. Improving preparedness and response is a priority, yet it remains unclear how best pre-exposure vaccination and community response can effectively limit transmission under realistic conditions and whether behavioral adaptation is critical. Methods. We used a data-driven network model of mpox transmission among men who have sex with men in the Paris region, parameterized with sexual behavioral data and calibrated to surveillance data from the 2022 outbreak. We evaluated counterfactual scenarios by varying vaccination timing, rollout speed, prioritization, and behavioral responses. Results. Here we show that, with respect to the 2022 epidemic in the Paris region, vaccination alone delivered at the observed rollout speed would not have reproduced the observed epidemic decline, even if initiated the day of the first European alert, corresponding to 12 days before the first case was reported in France. Achieving comparable control through vaccination alone would have required more than a fourfold increase in rollout speed. Large-scale and long-term reductions in sexual contacts remain instrumental to limit the epidemic size, although earlier vaccination reduces the proportion of MSM needing to change behavior. In contrast, short-term behavioral measures adopted by the vaccinees, such as sexual abstinence during the 14-day immunity-building period, combined with moderately faster vaccine rollout, (+68% for 50% compliance; +34% for 75% compliance) could achieve comparable epidemic control. Targeting individuals with higher sexual activity further improved intervention efficiency. Conclusions. Under realistic reactive vaccination scenarios, mpox control still requires strong behavioral responses. Combining timely vaccination with short-term behavioral change guidance at vaccine administration offers a feasible path to limit transmission and strengthen outbreak preparedness and response.

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SARS-CoV-2 Antibody Response during Omicron Predominance after COVID-19 Vaccination in People Living with HIV: A Comparative Study in Canada and Burkina Faso

Jarras, H.; Bazie, W. W.; Blais, I.; Pakenham, A.; Valiquette, j.; Theriault, M.; Traore, I. T.; Kania, D.; Ouoba, A. R.; Zoundi, Y.; Pelletier, M.; Tessier, P. A.; Pouliot, M.; Trottier, S.; Vachon, M.-L.; Gilbert, C.

2026-05-28 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354060 medRxiv
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People living with HIV (PLWH) are known to maintain a degree of immune deficiency despite efficient antiretroviral therapy and may exhibit diminished responses to vaccines. In this study, we assessed the immune response to SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccines in two geographically distinct PLWH populations. PLWH and HIV-negative (HIV-) participants were recruited from Qu&bec City (QC), Canada, and Bobo-Dioulasso (BD), Burkina Faso, for two visits at 24-week intervals during the predominance of the Omicron variant, from May 2022 to September 2023. Blood samples were collected at each visit for the detection of antibodies against spike (anti-S) and nucleocapsid (anti-N) proteins of SARS-CoV-2 in platelet-free plasma. A total of 360 participants were enrolled. We detected anti-S antibodies in 99% of participants, indicating that nearly all had prior exposure to the SARS-CoV-2 spike antigen, either through vaccination or prior infection. Anti-S titers showed no difference between PLWH and HIV& participants in each location, while significantly higher titers were observed in participants from QC compared to BD. In contrast, anti-N antibodies, indicative of prior infection, were detected in 39% and 86% of the participants in QC and BD, respectively, suggesting that the virus circulated largely in the latter population. No difference in anti-N levels was observed between PLWH and HIV& participants in BD. However, participants in QC had significantly lower titers compared to HIV participants. Overall, this study shows that PLWH develop robust antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, comparable to those observed in HIV& participants. Significant geographic differences were observed in anti-S titers, irrespective of HIV status, with participants from QC displaying higher titers. In contrast, participants from BD had higher anti-N antibody prevalence and titers, reflecting more SARS-CoV-2 infections in BD than in QC. Finally, analysis of anti-S antibody titers against several circulating variants revealed significantly lower levels in unvaccinated participants and in those vaccinated with monovalent vaccines in BD. No significant difference was observed between monovalent and bivalent vaccines administered in QC. All authors have seen and approved the manuscript.

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HIV-HPV Syndemic and Anal Precancerous Lesions Among MSM and Transgender Women in Pakistan: A Biological Continuum in High-Risk Sexual Networks

Ejaz, M.; Ahmed, A.; Rizvi, S. H.; Rizvi, A. A.; Ali, F.; Haroon, A.

2026-06-01 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354356 medRxiv
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Background: Sexual and gender minorities (SGM), including men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women, often face stigma, legal constraints, and limited access to sexual and reproductive health services. These conditions restrict prevention and care, increasing vulnerability to HIV and human papillomavirus (HPV) infections. While strong HIV-HPV interaction is documented in high-income settings, evidence from low- and middle-income countries remains limited. This study examines the burden, co-infection dynamics, and progression of HPV infection and anal dysplasia among MSM and transgender women in Pakistan. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted between September 2015 and October 2016 among men who have sex with men (MSM) and transgender women recruited from sexual health and antiretroviral therapy centers in Karachi. Eligible participants were aged [&ge;]18 years and self-reported anal sex within the past 6 months (N=298). Two anal specimens were collected for HPV DNA detection and genotyping using PCR, and anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (ASIL) were assessed cytologically using the Bethesda classification. Associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression algorithms to derive prevalence ratios (PRs). Results: Among participants, 44% (n=133) were living with HIV. Overall HPV prevalence was 65.1%, rising to 87% among HIV-positive individuals compared to 48% among those without HIV ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001). Likewise 28.9% of participants living with HIV were infected with two or more than two types of HPV as compared with 18.8% participants without HIV ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001). HIV infection was strongly associated with HPV acquisition (adjusted PR 2.81, 95% CI 2.16-3.82). Among HPV-positive participants (n=194), 58.8% were co-infected with HIV. High-risk HPV was highly prevalent among those living with HIV (83.2% vs. 35.3% ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001)), with HPV16 as the dominant oncogenic type. Multiple HPV infections were more common among HIV-positive individuals ({chi}{superscript 2}p[&le;]0.001), and HIV seropositivity was 3.43 (95% CI: 2.55-3.51) times higher among those with high-risk HPV. Co-infected participants demonstrated prolonged smoking, longer duration of sex work, high-intensity sex work with limited condom negotiation, and higher prevalence of anal warts (all p<0.05). Anal dysplasia (ASIL) was present in 35% of participants and was higher among HIV-positive individuals (42.4% vs. 28.1%, p<0.001). HIV-HPV co-infection was independently associated with ASIL (adjusted PR 1.75, 95% CI 1.07-2.88), while high-risk HPV further amplified this risk (PR 3.04, 95% CI 1.75-5.26). Conclusion: These findings demonstrate a biological continuum in HIV-positive MSM and transgender women, where HIV increases HPV acquisition, persistence, and multiplicity, accelerating progression to anal dysplasia. This reflects a syndemic shaped by biological interaction and structural vulnerability. Integrating HPV screening and vaccination within HIV services is essential to interrupt progression to cancer in this high-risk population.

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High Incidence of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes are Associated with Maternal Age and Infection Status in a Resource-Limited Community

Kituyi, S. N.; Odongo, A. O.; Wachuka, R.; Wambua, S.; Kobia, F.; Gitaka, J.; Kanoi, B. N.

2026-06-01 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354424 medRxiv
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Maternal health during pregnancy is critical for favorable birth outcomes and long-term wellbeing of both mothers and infants. Women in rural, malaria-endemic regions face unique biological and socioeconomic challenges that may increase the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs). This study investigated the incidence and determinants of APOs among pregnant women attending antenatal care at Webuye sub-County Hospital in Western Kenya, a rural malaria-endemic setting. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis utilizing previously collected data of 300 women enrolled during early pregnancy and followed through delivery. Maternal demographic, clinical, and infection-related factors were assessed, and associations with APOs were evaluated using chi-square tests and multivariable logistic regression. Maternal age and gestational age at enrollment were significantly associated with malaria history (P<0.001). Maternal BMI abnormality (124.5/1000 pregnancies), anemia (99.3/1000), fetal or neonatal death (81.3/1000), and preterm birth (43.8/1000) were observed (all P<0.001), suggesting a substantial burden. Younger mothers (<20 years) and older mothers (>35 years) were significantly more likely to develop anemia (P =0.026), and prior malaria infection further increased anemia risk (P =0.02). Abnormal urinalysis findings indicative of urinary tract infection were significantly associated with low birthweight (P =0.031). No significant associations were found between APOs and infant sex, parity, gravidity, or maternal ABO blood type. These findings highlight a substantial burden of APOs in this rural population, exceeding national and global estimates. Strengthening malaria prevention, nutritional support, urinary infection screening, and encouraging early antenatal care attendance are critical to improving maternal and neonatal outcomes. Targeted interventions for adolescent and older mothers, along with enhanced point-of-care diagnostics, may reduce preventable complications in similar resource-limited, malaria-endemic settings.

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Random Forest Model for Predicting Post-Lockdown Antenatal Depression Risk: A Cross-Sectional Study of Pregnant Women in China

Pan, Y.; Lin, H.; HIRONO, T.; Yang, Y.; Liu, Y.; Zhang, Y.

2026-05-26 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.23.26353929 medRxiv
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Background As lockdown measures was eased, pregnant women faced an elevated risk of COVID-19 infection, potentially impacting their mental health. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of antenatal depression (AD) post-lockdown and develop predictive models for AD risk using machine learning. Methods A cross-sectional study utilizing the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale was conducted in Beijing and Guizhou, China, from January to August 2023. Data was randomly split into training and test datasets (6:4 ratio), with logistic regression (LR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Random Forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) models trained and compared. The best model underwent further examination, including SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) for feature importance, calibration curve (CC) for discrimination, and decision curve analysis (DCA) for clinical benefit. Results The effective response rate was 91.07% (459/504), with 25.7% (118/459) testing positive for AD. Multivariate analysis identified "sleep disorders," "family support level," and "COVID-19 symptom severity" as independent predictors. RF model showed the highest area under the curve in both training (0.842) and testing (0.724) datasets, with SHAP emphasizing the greatest impact of "sleep disorders" on AD. The RF model's calibration (P > 0.05) and clinical utility across thresholds (8%-95% and 10%-58%) were confirmed by CC and DCA, respectively. Conclusions AD strongly correlated with "sleep disorders," "family support level," and "COVID-19 symptom severity" post-lockdown, and the EPDS-based RF model effectively predicted AD risk.

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Examining Migration, Social Bonds, Transnationalism, and HIV Prevention Pathways Among African Immigrants (MiST-Pathways): A Study Protocol

Aidoo-Frimpong, G.; Oduro, M. A.; Kamara, P.; Smith, D.

2026-05-28 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354266 medRxiv
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Background African immigrants in the United States bear a disproportionate HIV burden, with incidence approximately sixfold higher than the general population, yet remain largely absent from targeted prevention research. HIV vulnerability among this population is mediated through relationship and family systems that are restructured by migration, reorganizing household composition, gender norms, trust, and communication patterns through which prevention engagement occurs. Despite this, migration has rarely been examined as a force that transforms the relational contexts shaping engagement with HIV testing, HIV self-testing (HIVST), and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). Methods The MiST-Pathways Study will use a sequential mixed-methods, community-based pilot design among first-generation African immigrant adults (ages 18-50) residing in New York and Massachusetts. The study will proceed in three phases: Aim 1 will use semi-structured interviews (n = 15) and a structured survey (n = 75) to identify relationship typologies and migration-related relational mechanisms influencing HIV prevention engagement; Aim 2 will employ Palava Hut Conversations (PHC) (an African-centered deliberative method) with up to 30 participants to co-develop and prioritize relationship-tailored intervention components; and Aim 3 will conduct a proof-of-concept assessment of the prioritized component using a single-group pre-post design (n = 24), incorporating surveys and cognitive interviews to assess feasibility, acceptability, and preliminary evidence of mechanism activation. All activities will be conducted virtually via Zoom and WhatsApp, with eligibility screening administered through REDCap. The study has been approved by the University at Buffalo Institutional Review Board (STUDY00010347) and registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT07565584). Discussion This protocol outlines the planned evaluation of a sequentially designed, community-engaged pilot study to examine how migration reshapes relational contexts that influence HIV prevention decision-making among African immigrants. Findings will inform the development of culturally grounded, relationship-tailored prevention strategies and the design of a future, larger-scale intervention study.

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A phase 1 randomized controlled trial to evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of a HIV monomeric gp120 protein B-cell lineage targeting HIV vaccine in healthy adults

Kobie, J. J.; Williams, W. B.; Hahn, W. O.; Edlefsen, P. T.; Brewinski Isaacs, M.; Miner, M. D.; Parks, K. R.; De Rosa, S. C.; An, H.; Yurdadon, C.; Spreng, J.; Hwang, J.; Clark, M.; Jain, V.; Gregory, S. G.; Berry, M.; Wiehe, K.; Geopfert, P. A.; Tieu, H.-V.; Keefer, M. C.; Baden, L. R.; Kalams, S.; Morgan, C.; Montefiori, D. C.; Ferrari, G.; Regenold, S.; Tomaras, G. D.; McElrath, M. J.; Corey, L.; Sobieszczyk, M. E.; Haynes, B. F.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353896 medRxiv
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Background: The isolation of many HIV broadly neutralizing antibodies (bnAbs) from people living with HIV (PLWH) and rigorous characterization of their ontogeny has promoted the goal of reverse engineering their natural development as a strategy for achieving an effective preventive HIV vaccine. We previously described the developmental process of CH103, a CD4-binding site (CD4bs)-specific monoclonal antibody, and the associated evolution of HIV Envelopes (Envs) within the person (CH505) from whom it was isolated. A series of monomeric gp120 protein subunit immunogens representing the transmitted founder (TF) and Envs that evolved during infection and optimally reacted with lineage members at each step of the CH103 clone maturation path were evaluated in this placebo controlled randomized vaccine trial to test for the first time in humans the concept of whether sequential immunization with gp120 monomeric proteins can recapitulate the development of CD4bs B-cell clonal lineages, including CH103. Methods: HIV Vaccine Trials Network 115 (HVTN 115) was a randomized placebo-controlled vaccine trial at US clinical research sites. We tested the safety and immunogenicity of CH505TF gp120 + GLA-SE (Part A), and then the ability of sequential CH505 gp120 proteins (corresponding to CH505s weeks 53 and 78 Envs) + GLA-SE immunizations to induce CD4bs-specific neutralizing antibodies (Part B). We assessed binding and neutralizing antibody responses, antibody dependent cellular cytotoxicity, antibody dependent cellular phagocytosis, T-cell responses and B-cell phenotyping. Results: We enrolled 42 participants between October 2017 and May 2018 for Part A, and 65 participants from December 2020 to October 2022 for Part B. Immunization with the CH505 gp120 proteins adjuvanted with GLA-SE was well tolerated and induced CD4bs-specific B cells and Env-specific plasma antibodies. The plasma neutralizing antibody response was limited to primarily tier 1 autologous and heterologous HIV-1 strains. Blood-derived B-cell repertoire analyses identified CD4bs antibodies that preferentially bound to open-occluded trimeric Envs that exist in an intermediate state between prefusion-closed to CD4-bound open confirmations, consistent with tier 1 HIV neutralizing activity. Conclusions: Together, these results suggest that the low-affinity CH505TF gp120 monomer elicited CD4bs antibodies in the sera and B-cell repertoires of humans. However, our findings also indicate that gp120 monomers are insufficient to induce detectable bnAb precursors to epitopes on native Env trimers. Nonetheless, our data provide a benchmark for comparison with ongoing clinical trials testing high-affinity CH505 Env trimers for induction of CD4bs bnAb precursors.

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The Global Pediatric Diarrhea Surveillance network: Rationale and methods

Soeters, H. M.; Antoni, S.; Iyer, S. S.; Weldegebriel, G.; Biey, J.; Mwenda, J. M.; Rey-Benito, G.; Ortiz, C.; Pastore, R.; Videbaek, D.; Singh, S.; Njambe, E.; Sangal, L.; Dhongde, D.; Grabovac, V.; Logronio, J.; Fahmy, K.; Ghoniem, A.; Armah, G.; Dennis, F. E.; Seheri, M. L.; Magagula, N.; Rakau-Nondela, K.; Fumian, T. M.; Maciel, I. T. A.; Samoilovich, E.; Semeiko, G.; Varghese, T.; Thomas, S.; Bines, J.; Li, D.; Kabir, F.; Liu, J.; Houpt, E. R.; Gautam, R.; Mirza, S. A.; Vinje, J.; Mulders, M. N.; Tate, J. E.; Parashar, U. D.; Platts-Mills, J. A.; Global Pediatric Diarrhea Surveillance net

2026-05-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.21.26352576 medRxiv
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Background Diarrhea remains a leading cause of child morbidity and mortality worldwide. Improved and ongoing estimates of the etiologies of severe diarrhea, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), are crucial to inform the use of current vaccines and other interventions and to help prioritize the development of new vaccines. Producing rigorous longitudinal data on the global burden and etiology of pediatric diarrhea requires a geographically broad surveillance network with standardized epidemiologic, laboratory, and analytic protocols. Methods We describe the rationale and methods of the Global Pediatric Diarrhea Surveillance (GPDS) network, a World Health Organization (WHO)-coordinated public health surveillance network investigating the etiology of hospitalized diarrhea among children aged <5 years in LMICs. The GPDS network enrolls children hospitalized with diarrhea at 38 sentinel surveillance sites in 31 LMICs across all 6 WHO Regions. Randomly selected stool specimens were tested by TaqMan Array Card quantitative polymerase chain reaction for 16 enteric pathogens previously associated with pediatric diarrhea. GPDS produces estimates of pathogen-specific attributable fractions and incidence of diarrheal hospitalizations at the global, regional, and country levels. Conclusions As a WHO-coordinated global surveillance network, GPDS evaluates pathogens associated with hospitalized pediatric diarrhea. The network monitors the changing burden of pathogens over time, monitors circulating strains, and generates data to inform decision-making around public health interventions. GPDS also improves global, regional, and country diarrheal disease burden estimates, informs new enteric vaccine development, and potentially provides a platform for future enteric vaccine evaluation.

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Identification of a Fractional Model for an Outbreak of the Dengue Fever

Cresson, J.; Pere, M.; Szafranska, A.

2026-05-27 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354120 medRxiv
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This work focuses on the global and partial identification problem for fractional differential equations. We provide a general numerical procedure based on global and local optimization algorithms with two refinements for biological systems that ensure solution positivity and homogeneous parameter units. The method is applied to a new fractional model of Dengue outbreak called the Fractional Homogeneous Nishiura (FHN) model, calibrated using data of newly infected people in Cape Verde. We show that our identification method yields a better fit between data and model solutions than previous approaches and that our FHN model captures the dynamics of Dengue more closely than existing systems.

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Implementation and impact of a 5-year community-based tuberculosis screening intervention in Cambodia: a mixed-methods pragmatic evaluation using the RE-AIM framework

Soun, B.; Chamroen, P.; Nagashima-Hayashi, M.; Thovy, H.; Menh, S.; Ong, S.; Tep, S.; Eng, S.; Aung, K. M.; Yi, S.; Choub, S. C.; Tuot, S.; Teo, A. K. J.

2026-06-01 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354425 medRxiv
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Background: Cambodia is a high-TB burden country where over a third of TB cases have gone undetected. The Community Mobilisation Initiatives to End TB (COMMIT) programme, implemented across four provinces and 27 operational districts (ODs) in Cambodia from October 2019 to September 2024, aimed to improve TB case finding, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention through community-driven approaches. This study evaluated the implementation, programme outcomes, and sustainability of COMMIT to inform future TB initiatives. Methods: This mixed-methods explanatory sequential study used the Reach, Effectiveness, Adoption, Implementation, and Maintenance (RE-AIM) framework. Quantitative data were collected from the programme database and the national TB Management Information System (TB-MIS). In-depth interviews, guided by the Theoretical Domains Framework (TDF), explored contextual factors influencing programme implementation and complement quantitative findings. Quantitative data were analysed descriptively to estimate screening coverage, diagnostic yield, and construct care cascades. Qualitative data were transcribed and translated into English, coded, consolidated into a matrix structured using RE-AIM and TDF components, and analysed thematically. Results: COMMIT screened 695,970 people for TB. Key populations were reached, though sex and age disparities in screening participation reflected underlying social and structural barriers. Approximately 98% of those screened underwent diagnostic testing. Treatment initiation (>99%) and completion (>97%) rates were high. COMMIT operationalised contact investigation and evaluation for TB preventive treatment (TPT), screening over 90% of notified contacts. More than 20,000 people were TPT-eligible, of whom 68.7% enrolled in and 86.2% completed TPT. These programme outcomes were supported by strong community engagement, expansion of rapid molecular diagnostics, and programme adaptability during COVID-19. COMMIT was scaled from 10 to 27 ODs, during which it strengthened community capacity by training healthcare workers and expanding peer support groups. Stakeholders emphasised the need to reinforce local ownership and public-private sector collaboration, strengthen integrated services, and de-implement low-value practices such as symptom-based screening. Conclusions: COMMIT improved TB case detection, treatment support, and prevention in Cambodia through community-led strategies and sustained capacity building. Maintaining the programme impact will require continued investment in community systems, de-implementation of low-value practices, and the adoption of efficient, person-centred approaches that address evolving community needs.

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Application of SinoPlan in Trajectory Planning for Robot-Assisted Intracerebral Hematoma Puncture

Zhang, F. y.; Yao, J.; Zhou, Q. y.; fang, Y. c.; Hu, A.; Wang, Y.; Ding, W.; Wu, X.; Gu, Y.

2026-05-27 surgery 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353998 medRxiv
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Robot-assisted hematoma puncture has seen significant development in primary hospitals across the country. Sino Plan software system is the core of the intelligent surgical robot, independently developed by Sinovation.We conducted a comparative study of imaging indicators, such as residual hematoma volume and hematoma clearance rate, as well as prognostic indicators, in patients who underwent hematoma puncture at our hospital over a 9-year period, before and after the introduction of Sino Plan.The results indicated that following the application of Sino Plan, the hematoma clearance rate was significantly enhanced, and the residual hematoma volume was markedly reduced. Regarding patient prognosis, there was no significant difference in GCS scores between the two groups, but the incidence of adverse prognostic events was lower in patients where Sino Plan was utilized.In conclusion, this 9-year retrospective analysis at our hospital reveals that Sino Plan offers distinct advantages. However, its application in certain special cases suggests that further improvements to the software are warranted to better meet the demands of more specific clinical scenarios.

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Estimating cost of integrating HBV, HCV, and HIV screening at ANC using Time-Driven Activity Based Costing Approach; A providers perspective comparing Intervention and standard of care at lower health facilities in West Nile sub region, Uganda

Alege, J. B.; Oyore, J. P.; Nanyonga, R. C.; Ssebagereka, A.; Ssempala, R.; Musoke, P.; Orago, A. S. S.

2026-05-26 health economics 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353753 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective To Estimate cost of integrating HBV, HCV, and HIV screening at Antenatal using Time-Driven Activity Based Costing (TDACB) Approach; A providers perspective comparing Intervention and standard of care at lower health facilities in West Nile sub region, Uganda Methods Design The Time Driven Activity-Based Costing (TDABC) approach was used to capture resource use and costs associated with delivering integrated HBV, HCV, and HIV screening among pregnant women. This study compared screening uptake among study participants in the intervention, and control group respectively. Five lower health facilities in Koboko and Maracha districts respectively in West Nile region of Uganda. A total of 1,338 study participants wo were pregnant mothers in first ANC, first trimester at the selected 10 facilities were enrolled in this study. Data were abstracted, and also collected on; Personnel/staff time; facility space utilisation; and Medical and non-medical equipment. Total cost per patient visit=Staff time costs+Space cost Equipment cost. Outcome Measure was the estimated provider-perspective costs of delivering integrated screening for HBV, HCV and HIV, using Integrated Care Model by comparing intervention and control groups. Results Staff CCRs demonstrated considerable variability across cadres and facilities, with an overall mean of USD 0.492 per minute (Range: USD 0.167 - 1.318). Laboratory technicians exhibited the highest mean CCR at USD 0.767 per minute for personnel CCRs per patient visit. the mean lowest CPP visit was noted for HBV in the intervention arm (USD 11.43) while HIV test was the lowest in the control arm (USD 0.43). HCV test had the highest cost in the control arm (USD 0.52). The CPP visit for positive clients were generally higher than those that were negative. Equipment CCRs were minimal and highly consistent across facilities, with a mean of USD 0.00069 per minute ({+/-}0.0002). HIV/Syphilis combo was the costliest test kits at USD 3.14 per test kit followed by viral hepatitis C test kit and Hep B at USD 2.47 and USD 0.28 respectively. Facility space CCRs exhibited moderate variation across facilities, ranging from USD 0.01593 to USD 0.03474 per minute. Overall mean CCR for the space for delivering HBV, HCV or HIV testing was USD 0.0256 (0.0066). Conclusion; Overall, the integration of screening resulted in: Cost efficiencies where the same staff and space were used for multiple simultaneous tests, reduced marginal costs for HIV tests due to larger procurement volumes, and higher marginal cost additions for HBV and HCV due to pricier reagents.

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Acceptability of Doxy-PEP Among Men Who Have Sex With Men in New York City: Findings From the 2023 National HIV Behavioral Surveillance Survey

Meunier, E.; Rivera, A.; Rodriguez, K.; Martinez, P. A.; Edelstein, Z.

2026-05-30 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354355 medRxiv
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In the United States, gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM) experience a disproportionate burden of sexually transmitted infections (STIs), with notable racial/ethnic disparities. Doxycycline post-exposure prophylaxis (doxy-PEP) has emerged as a promising strategy to prevent bacterial STIs. This study analyzed 2023 National HIV Behavioral Surveillance data to examine doxy-PEP awareness, use, and intent to use among MSM in New York City (NYC), in a predominantly Hispanic/Latino sample. Among 134 participants, awareness and prior use were low (38.8% and 9.0%, respectively), but intent to use was high (75.4%). In Poisson regression models, intent was higher among participants reporting non-injection drug use and 2-10 partners in the past 12 months, while marginally lower among those above the Federal Poverty Level and recent migrants. Findings suggest doxy-PEP is acceptable for MSM in NYC, but addressing barriers among low-income groups and recent migrants is critical to reducing disparities.

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Development and validation of a multiplexed quantitative PCR assay for clinical detection and surveillance of Oropouche virus

Stachler, E.; McMahon, K.; Gopal, N.; Knoll, H.; Baillargeon, K. R.; Mora, A. C.; Wondrash, H. A.; Sullivan, E. M.; Rush, S.; Gratalo, D.; Ozonoff, A.; Sabeti, P. C.; Springer, M.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354109 medRxiv
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Background Oropouche virus (OROV) is an emerging vector-borne virus with rapidly expanding geographic range, increasing case counts, and growing evidence of severe outcomes including neuroinvasive disease and vertical transmission. Because OROV infection presents with nonspecific febrile illness that overlaps clinically with other viruses including dengue, zika, and chikungunya, accurate molecular diagnostics are essential for patient care and surveillance. Yet existing assays rely on single genomic targets and are vulnerable to detection failure as the virus evolves and reassorts. Methodology/Principal Findings To support diagnostic capacity, we developed and clinically validated a multiplexed qPCR assay targeting three regions of the OROV S segment, incorporating redundancy to preserve sensitivity across viral diversity while enabling robust clinical interpretation. The multiplex also includes an assay targeting RNaseP as an internal sample control to ensure adequate sample processing. We evaluated assay performance using both historical and contemporary OROV strains and validated the assay on contrived serum, plasma, and cerebrospinal fluid samples, assessing linearity, limit of detection (LOD), accuracy, specificity, precision, and sample stability. The assay met or exceeded all predefined acceptance criteria for clinical testing and achieved an LOD as low as 6 copies per reaction for contemporary outbreak strains. We further implemented a logic-based interpretation matrix that reduced false-positive risk while maintaining sensitivity near the analytical LOD. Conclusions/Significance Our assay sensitively and specifically detects OROV RNA in serum, plasma, and cerebrospinal fluid while incorporating safeguards against viral evolution and reassortment. The assay has been approved for use by CLIA at Nexus Medical Labs in 49 U.S. states, expanding access to timely OROV diagnostics in the United States and providing a durable framework for molecular detection of reassorting, rapidly evolving viruses as OROV continues to spread into new regions.